Fantastic tips for the 2022 Minneapolis Supercross [8 Fast Facts]

The 2022 AMA Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship Series moves to the Midwest for Round 7. With dirt at heart, picking the Top 5 in the right order couldn’t be easier for RMFantasySX.com. Either way, that’s what we get paid big for, so here’s our fantastic 2022 Minneapolis Supercross tips for you.

1. Eli Tomac has established the top two spots as his territory. Tomac has been either the winner or second in the last four races, and hasn’t left the Top 5 since the first lap. Jason Anderson topped A3, snapping Tomac’s two-game winning streak. However, Tomac has been much more consistent than Anderson, so I’m going with points leader Tomac for the win on the US Bank Stadium floor.

2. There are three riders with three podiums in 2022 – Jason Anderson, Justin Barcia and Chase Sexton. If you accept Tomac as your podium lock – he’s got four in a row – then one of that trio won’t be there.

3. I go with Sexton and Anderson, in that order behind Tomac. There are two reasons for this. Anderson alternated podiums and non-podiums each week, going 10-1-8-2-4-1. Thus, Anderson should miss the podium. Prior to A3, the last time Sexton missed the Top 5 was Oakland. After that, Seton made a 1-3-3 tear before his P7 at A3. Thus, the model favors Sexton over Anderson. Of course, both runners won in 2022 and could be on top in Minneapolis.

4. For P4, it’s between Malcolm Stewart and Justin Barcia. Barcia is something of a feast or famine rider. Either he’s on the podium or he’s outside the Top 5. Stewart has been in the Top 5 every lap since the A1 opened, so he’s a solid Top 5 pick. Stewart’s consistency pushes me to repeat finishing P4 to A3. Barcia are moving in the right direction, however. He’s gone 9-7-6-3 in the last four races. If Tomac, Sexton and Anderson didn’t look like such solid podium picks, I might go with Barcia on the podium. However, I’m counting on Stewart’s consistency to halt Barcia’s progress. Like the Anderson/Sexton choice, this one is tough.

5. The Wild Card is P8, and there is an obvious choice: reigning Supercross champion Cooper Webb. Webb has a three-race streak of P8 finishes. However, finishing in the same place four times in a row is rare, especially in the Top 10. Either way, Webb seems to be in that rut and could stay there. Other Wild Card possibilities are Marvin Musquin (who made the Top 5 in A3), Dylan Ferrandis (this is about his departure), Ken Roczen (this is about staying on the bike) and the recovery of ‘Aaron Plessinger (he was P9 in A3 after getting injured in A2). It’s an amazing group of riders looking to ditch the P8.

6. I love statistics, and I have an interesting couple for you. All of the Top 10 drivers in the standings have finished in the Top 5, and no one outside the Series Top 10 has been in the Top 5. Also, of the Top 10 drivers, only Musquin has not managed to get on the podium. That’s why it was so hard to pick the Top 5 in order, and I’m only in the top 46% of RMFantasySX players – humbling, no doubt.

7. We have the guide to watch the Minneapolis tour – it’s complicated and early. If you’re on the West Coast, set your alarm, as qualifying begins on Peacock at 8 a.m. PST. The race begins at 2:00 p.m. PST (5:00 p.m. EST) on Peacock and CNBC, all live. For those Luddites who lack cable or streaming, the race will air live on NBC at noon EST Sunday. We recommend bookmarking our 2022 Supercross TV schedule.

8. t1; dr 2022 Minneapolis Supercross Fantasy picks:

1. Eli Tomac
2. sacristan hunting
3. Jason Anderson
4. Malcolm Stewart
5. Justin Barcia
   Wild Card P8: Cooper Webb

Photography by Align Media, Feld Entertainment, et al

2022 AMA Monster Energy Supercross Championship Series Standings (after 6 of 17 rounds)

1. Eli Tomac, Yamaha, 134 (2W, 4P, 5 T5)
2. Jason Anderson, Kawasaki, 122 (2W, 3P, 4 T5)
3. Chase Sexton, Honda, 116 (1W, 3P, 4 T5)
4. Malcolm Stewart, Husqvarna, 112 (1P, 5 T5)
5. Justin Barcia, GasGas, 110 (3P, 3 T5)
6. Cooper Webb, KTM, 103 (1P, 2 T5)
7. Marvin Musquin, KTM, 98 (2 T5)
8. Ken Roczen, Honda, 92 points (1G, 1P, 2 T5)
9. Dylan Ferrandis, Yamaha, 92 (1P, 2 T5)
10. Aaron Plessinger, KTM, 81 (1P, 1 T5)
11. Dean Wilson, Husqvarna, 72
12. Shane McElrath, KTM, 59
13. Max Anstie, KTM, 54 years old
14. Brandon Hartranft, Suzuki, 48
15. Justin Brayton, Honda, 46
16. Mitchell Oldenburg, Honda, 37
17. Kyle Chisholm, Yamaha, 31
18. Joey Savatgy, KTM, 27
19. Adam Cianciarulo, Kawasaki, 23 years old
20. Justin Bogle, KTM, 23 years old
21. Alex Martin, Yamaha, 20 years old
22. Josh Hill, KTM, 13 years old
23. Ryan Breece, Yamaha, 12
24. Justin Starling, GasGas, 11
25. Fredrik Noren, KTM, 9
26. Cade Clason, Honda, 8 years old
27. Kevin Moranz, KTM, 3
28. Joan Cros, Kawasaki, 2
29. Adam Enticknap, Suzuki, 1

2022 Anaheim 3 Supercross Results

1. Jason Anderson, Kawasaki
2. Eli Tomac, Yamaha
3. Justin Barcia, GasGas
4. Malcolm Stewart, Husqvarna
5. Marvin Musquin, KTM
6. Dylan Ferrandis, Yamaha
7. Chase Sexton, Honda
8. Cooper Webb, KTM
9. Aaron Plessinger, KTM
10. Justin Brayton, Honda
11. Ken Roczen, Honda
12. Dean Wilson, Husqvarna
13. Max Anstie, KTM
14. Shane McElrath, KTM
15. Brandon Hartranft, Suzuki
16. Kyle Chisholm, Yamaha
17. Justin Bogle, KTM
18. Justin Starling, Gas Gas
19. Mitchell Oldenburg, Honda
20. Kevin Moranz, KTM
21. Cade Clason, Honda
22. Adam Enticknap, Suzuki